AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Nov 25, 2023

Wellington Phoenix Women

Home
VS
06:15

Perth Glory Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Perth Glory Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.02 - 1.10
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 1-2 (7%) 0-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 18 Wellingto… vs Central C… 1-0
Nov 04 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Oct 22 Wellingto… vs Western S… 0-3
Oct 15 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Mar 28 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 1-3
Mar 25 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 3-2
Mar 18 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 0-1
Mar 11 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Mar 04 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Feb 26 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Perth Glory Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Nov 04 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 2-3
Oct 22 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Mar 29 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 4-2
Mar 26 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 4-3
Mar 18 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Mar 11 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Mar 05 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-1
Feb 12 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 4-0
Jan 15 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Perth Glory Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2023 Wellington Phoenix … 0 - 1 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 15, 2023 Perth Glory Women 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Wellington Phoenix … 1 - 3 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 31, 2022 Perth Glory Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Wellington Phoenix Women to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Perth Glory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.