AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 18, 2023

Wellington Phoenix Women

Home
VS
04:00

Perth Glory Women

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Perth Glory Women Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.97 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Mar 04 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Feb 26 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Feb 12 Wellingto… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 29 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 3-3
Jan 21 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 5-0
Jan 15 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Jan 02 Wellingto… vs Western S… 1-1
Dec 17 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Dec 10 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 3-0
Perth Glory Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Mar 05 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-1
Feb 12 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 4-0
Jan 15 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 2-0
Dec 27 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Dec 18 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 3-2
Dec 03 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 2-2
Nov 27 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Nov 19 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 2-2
Mar 04 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2023 Perth Glory Women 2 - 0 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Wellington Phoenix … 1 - 3 Perth Glory Women W-League
Jan 31, 2022 Perth Glory Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Wellington Phoenix Women to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Perth Glory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.