AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 04, 2022

Wellington Phoenix Women

Home
VS
06:05

Perth Glory Women

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Perth Glory Women Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.98 - 3.05
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-3 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Wellingto… vs Western S… 2-3
Feb 18 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 1-4
Feb 11 Wellingto… vs Canberra … 0-3
Jan 31 Wellingto… vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Jan 21 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Jan 16 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-3
Jan 09 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 4-0
Dec 30 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 0-5
Dec 27 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Dec 19 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 3-0
Perth Glory Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 1-3
Feb 13 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 0-4
Feb 10 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Feb 05 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 3-3
Jan 31 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 3-2
Jan 23 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 16 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Jan 08 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 4-0
Jan 05 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 0-0
Jan 01 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2022 Perth Glory Women 3 - 2 Wellington Phoenix … W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Wellington Phoenix Women to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Perth Glory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.