AI Match Insights

W-League Jan 31, 2022

Perth Glory Women

Home
VS
07:35

Wellington Phoenix Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Perth Glory Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Wellington Phoenix Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.85 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Perth Glory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Wellington Phoenix Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Perth Glory Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 16 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Jan 08 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 4-0
Jan 05 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 0-0
Jan 01 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 4-2
Mar 25 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Mar 12 Perth Glo… vs Canberra … 2-3
Mar 08 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 0-4
Feb 25 Perth Glo… vs Sydney FC… 2-6
Feb 18 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Wellington Phoenix Women Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Wellingto… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Jan 16 Wellingto… vs Brisbane … 2-3
Jan 09 Wellingto… vs Melbourne… 4-0
Dec 30 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 0-5
Dec 27 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Dec 19 Wellingto… vs Sydney FC… 3-0
Dec 10 Wellingto… vs Newcastle… 5-1
Dec 03 Wellingto… vs Western S… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wellington Phoenix Women struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Perth Glory Women Power 0
Wellington Phoenix Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Perth Glory Women Position

-5

Position Gap

3

Wellington Phoenix Women Position

Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.