AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Jul 23, 2022

ST Johnstone

Home
VS
14:00

Ayr Utd

Away
AI Predictions 48.3% Confidence
ST Johnstone Win
48.3%
Draw
24.3%
Ayr Utd Win
27.3%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.05 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.9
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ST Johnstone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
ST Johnstone Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 09 ST Johnst… vs Rangers FC 3-2
Aug 15 ST Johnst… vs Arbroath 2-2
Jul 21 ST Johnst… vs Arbroath 1-4
Dec 15 ST Johnst… vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Ayr Utd Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Jun 25 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 2-1
Aug 14 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Nov 14 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: ST Johnstone to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ST Johnstone Power 0
Ayr Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.