AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Nov 24, 2024

Palermo

Home
VS
16:15

Sampdoria

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Palermo Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Sampdoria Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.92
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Palermo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Palermo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Palermo vs Frosinone 1-1
Nov 03 Palermo vs Cittadella 0-1
Oct 30 Palermo vs Mantova 0-0
Oct 30 Palermo vs Mantova 0-0
Oct 26 Palermo vs Reggiana … 2-0
Oct 19 Palermo vs Monza 2-2
Oct 19 Palermo vs Monza 2-2
Oct 06 Palermo vs Salernita… 0-1
Sep 30 Palermo vs Sudtirol 1-3
Sep 26 Palermo vs Napoli 5-0
Sampdoria Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Sampdoria vs Pisa 3-0
Nov 03 Sampdoria vs Brescia 0-1
Oct 30 Sampdoria vs Cittadella 0-0
Oct 27 Sampdoria vs Mantova 1-0
Oct 20 Sampdoria vs Cosenza 3-5
Oct 04 Sampdoria vs Juve Stab… 1-2
Sep 29 Sampdoria vs Monza 1-3
Sep 29 Sampdoria vs Modena 1-3
Sep 25 Sampdoria vs Genoa 1-1
Sep 21 Sampdoria vs Sudtirol 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2024 Palermo 2 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 04, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 0 Palermo Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Palermo to win (56% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 56% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Palermo Power 44
Sampdoria Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Palermo Position

+10

Position Gap

14

Sampdoria Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.