AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Dec 14, 2025

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
02:00

Municipal Liberia

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Municipal Liberia Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.15 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Municipal Liberia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
LD Alajuelense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-1
Dec 07 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-2
Nov 30 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-2
Nov 27 LD Alajue… vs Xelajú 1-1
Nov 23 LD Alajue… vs Sporting … 2-0
Nov 21 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Nov 03 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-4
Oct 31 LD Alajue… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Oct 26 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 3-2
Oct 24 LD Alajue… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Municipal Liberia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Municipal… vs LD Alajue… 1-1
Dec 07 Municipal… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Nov 30 Municipal… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Nov 22 Municipal… vs Guadalupe… 1-0
Nov 16 Municipal… vs AD Sarchí 1-3
Nov 09 Municipal… vs Quepos Ca… 1-1
Nov 03 Municipal… vs LD Alajue… 1-4
Nov 02 Municipal… vs Inter San… 2-3
Oct 30 Municipal… vs AD Cofutpa 0-2
Oct 26 Municipal… vs Sporting … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • LD Alajuelense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 11, 2025 Municipal Liberia 1 - 1 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Nov 03, 2025 Municipal Liberia 1 - 4 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Sep 14, 2025 LD Alajuelense 2 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
May 08, 2025 LD Alajuelense 2 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Jan 15, 2025 Municipal Liberia 1 - 3 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Oct 17, 2024 LD Alajuelense 2 - 2 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Jul 25, 2024 Municipal Liberia 1 - 2 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Mar 27, 2024 Municipal Liberia 0 - 4 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Jan 21, 2024 LD Alajuelense 0 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Oct 01, 2023 Municipal Liberia 3 - 3 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Municipal Liberia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Municipal Liberia Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.