AI Match Insights

Copa Chile May 12, 2025

Santiago Wanderers

Home
VS
23:00

Union San Felipe

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Santiago Wanderers Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Union San Felipe Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.21 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santiago Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Union San Felipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Santiago Wanderers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Santiago … vs San Luis … 0-1
Apr 26 Santiago … vs Rangers d… 3-3
Apr 18 Santiago … vs Recoleta 1-1
Apr 13 Santiago … vs Deportes … 2-1
Apr 07 Santiago … vs Colo-Colo 0-0
Mar 31 Santiago … vs Deportes … 3-0
Mar 24 Santiago … vs Deportes … 0-2
Mar 16 Santiago … vs San Marco… 1-2
Mar 10 Santiago … vs Antofagas… 4-0
Mar 02 Santiago … vs Union San… 0-1
Union San Felipe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Union San… vs Curicó Un… 3-0
Apr 27 Union San… vs Magallane… 1-0
Apr 20 Union San… vs Antofagas… 2-2
Apr 12 Union San… vs San Luis … 2-1
Apr 06 Union San… vs Deportes … 1-2
Mar 29 Union San… vs Recoleta 0-0
Mar 23 Union San… vs Colo-Colo 0-1
Mar 14 Union San… vs Deportes … 0-1
Mar 08 Union San… vs Deportes … 2-1
Mar 02 Union San… vs Santiago … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Union San Felipe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2025 Union San Felipe 0 - 1 Santiago Wanderers Primera B
Feb 16, 2025 Union San Felipe 1 - 3 Santiago Wanderers Copa Chile
Jul 31, 2024 Santiago Wanderers 3 - 0 Union San Felipe Primera B
Mar 17, 2024 Union San Felipe 1 - 2 Santiago Wanderers Primera B
Nov 15, 2023 Santiago Wanderers 2 - 0 Union San Felipe Primera B
Nov 10, 2023 Union San Felipe 2 - 1 Santiago Wanderers Primera B
Aug 05, 2023 Union San Felipe 0 - 1 Santiago Wanderers Primera B
Mar 21, 2023 Santiago Wanderers 3 - 2 Union San Felipe Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Santiago Wanderers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santiago Wanderers Power 0
Union San Felipe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.