AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premijer Liga Apr 24, 2024

Zrinjski

Home
VS
18:30

FK Sarajevo

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Zrinjski Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
FK Sarajevo Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.96 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zrinjski Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
FK Sarajevo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Zrinjski Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Zrinjski vs Sloga Dobā€¦ 0-2
Apr 17 Zrinjski vs Sloga Dobā€¦ 3-0
Apr 13 Zrinjski vs Vejle 1-0
Apr 03 Zrinjski vs Sloga Dobā€¦ 0-0
Mar 30 Zrinjski vs Borac Banā€¦ 1-2
Mar 16 Zrinjski vs Željezničā€¦ 2-0
Mar 10 Zrinjski vs Borac Banā€¦ 0-1
Mar 02 Zrinjski vs Sloga Dobā€¦ 1-1
Feb 17 Zrinjski vs Željezničā€¦ 0-0
Dec 18 Zrinjski vs FK Sarajeā€¦ 2-0
FK Sarajevo Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Željezničā€¦ 0-0
Mar 03 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Željezničā€¦ 3-0
Feb 18 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Å iroki Brā€¦ 1-3
Dec 18 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Zrinjski 2-0
Dec 01 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Vejle 1-0
Oct 08 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Željezničā€¦ 3-0
Sep 22 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Å iroki Brā€¦ 1-0
Sep 16 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Zrinjski 1-0
Aug 28 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Vejle 1-0
Jun 30 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs ShkĆ«ndijaā€¦ 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zrinjski in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FK Sarajevo struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2023 Zrinjski 2 - 0 FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga
Sep 16, 2023 FK Sarajevo 1 - 0 Zrinjski Premijer Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Zrinjski to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zrinjski Power 0
FK Sarajevo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Zrinjski Position

+1

Position Gap

3

FK Sarajevo Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.