AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Aug 17, 2024

Ards

Home
VS
14:00

Newington Youth

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Ards Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Newington Youth Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.93 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Newington Youth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Ards Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Ards vs Limavady … 0-3
Aug 03 Ards vs Loughgall 1-1
Apr 13 Ards vs Newington… 1-1
Mar 02 Ards vs Dundela 4-0
Feb 27 Ards vs Newington… 1-0
Feb 24 Ards vs H&W Welde… 0-1
Feb 03 Ards vs Institute 1-0
Jan 27 Ards vs Institute 2-2
Jan 19 Ards vs Annagh Un… 2-0
Dec 22 Ards vs Institute 3-2
Newington Youth Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Newington… vs Annagh Un… 0-3
Aug 03 Newington… vs Ballymena… 4-2
Apr 13 Newington… vs Ards 1-1
Apr 06 Newington… vs Ballinama… 3-1
Mar 23 Newington… vs Dundela 1-3
Mar 16 Newington… vs Annagh Un… 2-0
Feb 27 Newington… vs Ards 1-0
Feb 24 Newington… vs Institute 2-0
Feb 17 Newington… vs Ballinama… 1-2
Jan 27 Newington… vs H&W Welde… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newington Youth struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2024 Ards 1 - 1 Newington Youth Championship
Feb 27, 2024 Newington Youth 1 - 0 Ards Championship
Dec 02, 2023 Newington Youth 4 - 1 Ards Championship
Aug 05, 2023 Ards 1 - 3 Newington Youth Championship
Mar 14, 2023 Newington Youth 2 - 2 Ards Championship
Dec 10, 2022 Ards 2 - 1 Newington Youth Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ards Power 0
Newington Youth Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Ards Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Newington Youth Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 15%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.