AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Apr 13, 2024

Ards

Home
VS
14:00

Newington Youth

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Ards Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Newington Youth Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.70 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Ards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Newington Youth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Ards Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Ards vs Dundela 4-0
Feb 27 Ards vs Newington… 1-0
Feb 24 Ards vs H&W Welde… 0-1
Feb 03 Ards vs Institute 1-0
Jan 27 Ards vs Institute 2-2
Jan 19 Ards vs Annagh Un… 2-0
Dec 22 Ards vs Institute 3-2
Dec 02 Ards vs Newington… 4-1
Nov 25 Ards vs Dundela 4-0
Nov 18 Ards vs H&W Welde… 0-3
Newington Youth Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Newington… vs Ballinama… 3-1
Mar 23 Newington… vs Dundela 1-3
Mar 16 Newington… vs Annagh Un… 2-0
Feb 27 Newington… vs Ards 1-0
Feb 24 Newington… vs Institute 2-0
Feb 17 Newington… vs Ballinama… 1-2
Jan 27 Newington… vs H&W Welde… 3-1
Jan 06 Newington… vs Dundela 2-1
Dec 22 Newington… vs H&W Welde… 2-2
Dec 16 Newington… vs Institute 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ards struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Newington Youth struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 27, 2024 Newington Youth 1 - 0 Ards Championship
Dec 02, 2023 Newington Youth 4 - 1 Ards Championship
Aug 05, 2023 Ards 1 - 3 Newington Youth Championship
Mar 14, 2023 Newington Youth 2 - 2 Ards Championship
Dec 10, 2022 Ards 2 - 1 Newington Youth Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ards Power 0
Newington Youth Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Ards Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Newington Youth Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 15%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.