AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Feb 27, 2024

Newington Youth

Home
VS
19:45

Ards

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Newington Youth Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Ards Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.70 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newington Youth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Ards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Newington Youth Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Newington… vs Institute 2-0
Feb 17 Newington… vs Ballinama… 1-2
Jan 27 Newington… vs H&W Welde… 3-1
Jan 06 Newington… vs Dundela 2-1
Dec 22 Newington… vs H&W Welde… 2-2
Dec 16 Newington… vs Institute 2-1
Dec 02 Newington… vs Ards 4-1
Nov 18 Newington… vs Ballinama… 1-2
Nov 04 Newington… vs Dundela 4-2
Oct 28 Newington… vs Annagh Un… 3-0
Ards Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Ards vs H&W Welde… 0-1
Feb 03 Ards vs Institute 1-0
Jan 27 Ards vs Institute 2-2
Jan 19 Ards vs Annagh Un… 2-0
Dec 22 Ards vs Institute 3-2
Dec 02 Ards vs Newington… 4-1
Nov 25 Ards vs Dundela 4-0
Nov 18 Ards vs H&W Welde… 0-3
Oct 21 Ards vs Annagh Un… 2-3
Oct 13 Ards vs Institute 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newington Youth struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Ards struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 02, 2023 Newington Youth 4 - 1 Ards Championship
Aug 05, 2023 Ards 1 - 3 Newington Youth Championship
Mar 14, 2023 Newington Youth 2 - 2 Ards Championship
Dec 10, 2022 Ards 2 - 1 Newington Youth Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newington Youth Power 0
Ards Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Newington Youth Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Ards Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 31%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.