AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Feb 17, 2024

Musanze

Home
VS
13:00

Etincelles

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Musanze Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Etincelles Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.97 - 0.55
Key Insights
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Musanze Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Musanze vs APR 1-3
Dec 02 Musanze vs Gorilla 0-1
Nov 26 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 2-0
Oct 15 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Oct 10 Musanze vs Etincelles 0-3
Oct 06 Musanze vs APR 2-1
Mar 12 Musanze vs Gorilla 1-0
Mar 05 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 1-2
Feb 26 Musanze vs APR 0-3
Feb 05 Musanze vs Etincelles 0-0
Etincelles Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Etincelles vs Police 1-1
Jan 20 Etincelles vs Amagaju 0-1
Dec 09 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-1
Dec 06 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 4-2
Oct 28 Etincelles vs Mukura 1-0
Oct 22 Etincelles vs APR 0-3
Oct 10 Etincelles vs Musanze 0-3
Sep 17 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Aug 28 Etincelles vs Amagaju 2-0
May 06 Etincelles vs Mukura 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musanze struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 10, 2023 Etincelles 0 - 3 Musanze National Socce…
Feb 05, 2023 Musanze 0 - 0 Etincelles National Socce…
Nov 12, 2022 Etincelles 3 - 2 Musanze National Socce…
May 07, 2022 Etincelles 1 - 0 Musanze National Socce…
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3 - 1 Musanze National Socce…
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musanze to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musanze Power 0
Etincelles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Musanze Position

+11

Position Gap

18

Etincelles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.