AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Oct 10, 2023

Etincelles

Home
VS
13:00

Musanze

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Etincelles Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Musanze Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.22 - 1.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.5
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Etincelles Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Aug 28 Etincelles vs Amagaju 2-0
May 06 Etincelles vs Mukura 3-1
Apr 29 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Mar 12 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-2
Feb 24 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-2
Feb 19 Etincelles vs APR 4-2
Feb 05 Etincelles vs Musanze 0-0
Dec 22 Etincelles vs APR 1-1
Nov 12 Etincelles vs Musanze 3-2
Musanze Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Musanze vs APR 2-1
Mar 12 Musanze vs Gorilla 1-0
Mar 05 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 1-2
Feb 26 Musanze vs APR 0-3
Feb 05 Musanze vs Etincelles 0-0
Jan 24 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 4-1
Dec 11 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Nov 27 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-0
Nov 12 Musanze vs Etincelles 3-2
Oct 12 Musanze vs Gorilla 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2023 Musanze 0 - 0 Etincelles National Socce…
Nov 12, 2022 Etincelles 3 - 2 Musanze National Socce…
May 07, 2022 Etincelles 1 - 0 Musanze National Socce…
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3 - 1 Musanze National Socce…
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Etincelles Power 0
Musanze Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Etincelles Position

-11

Position Gap

7

Musanze Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.