AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Feb 05, 2023

Musanze

Home
VS
13:00

Etincelles

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Musanze Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Etincelles Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.88 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Musanze Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 4-1
Dec 11 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Nov 27 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-0
Nov 12 Musanze vs Etincelles 3-2
Oct 12 Musanze vs Gorilla 0-2
Aug 19 Musanze vs APR 2-1
May 22 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
May 15 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
May 07 Musanze vs Etincelles 1-0
Apr 23 Musanze vs Gicumbi 1-0
Etincelles Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Etincelles vs APR 1-1
Nov 12 Etincelles vs Musanze 3-2
Oct 30 Etincelles vs Mukura 2-1
Oct 21 Etincelles vs Police 2-1
Oct 13 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Aug 19 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-0
Jun 17 Etincelles vs Mukura 1-2
May 07 Etincelles vs Musanze 1-0
Apr 23 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Apr 17 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musanze struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 12, 2022 Etincelles 3 - 2 Musanze National Socce…
May 07, 2022 Etincelles 1 - 0 Musanze National Socce…
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3 - 1 Musanze National Socce…
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musanze to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musanze Power 0
Etincelles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Musanze Position

+11

Position Gap

18

Etincelles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.