AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Nov 12, 2022

Etincelles

Home
VS
13:00

Musanze

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Etincelles Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Musanze Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.79 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Etincelles Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Etincelles vs Mukura 2-1
Oct 21 Etincelles vs Police 2-1
Oct 13 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Aug 19 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-0
Jun 17 Etincelles vs Mukura 1-2
May 07 Etincelles vs Musanze 1-0
Apr 23 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Apr 17 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-2
Mar 13 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Feb 21 Etincelles vs APR 2-0
Musanze Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Musanze vs Gorilla 0-2
Aug 19 Musanze vs APR 2-1
May 22 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
May 15 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
May 07 Musanze vs Etincelles 1-0
Apr 23 Musanze vs Gicumbi 1-0
Mar 14 Musanze vs Gorilla 3-2
Feb 16 Musanze vs APR 1-0
Jan 20 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 1-0
Jan 15 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Musanze struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2022 Etincelles 1 - 0 Musanze National Socce…
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3 - 1 Musanze National Socce…
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Etincelles Power 0
Musanze Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Etincelles Position

-11

Position Gap

7

Musanze Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.