AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League May 07, 2022

Etincelles

Home
VS
13:00

Musanze

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Etincelles Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Musanze Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.86 - 0.36
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Etincelles Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Apr 17 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-2
Mar 13 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Feb 21 Etincelles vs APR 2-0
Jan 27 Etincelles vs Mukura 1-0
Dec 28 Etincelles vs Musanze 1-1
Dec 19 Etincelles vs Police 3-0
Dec 12 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 1-1
Dec 09 Etincelles vs APR 0-0
Dec 01 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-2
Musanze Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Musanze vs Gicumbi 1-0
Mar 14 Musanze vs Gorilla 3-2
Feb 16 Musanze vs APR 1-0
Jan 20 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 1-0
Jan 15 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-0
Dec 28 Musanze vs Etincelles 1-1
Dec 19 Musanze vs Gicumbi 0-0
Nov 30 Musanze vs Gorilla 2-1
Nov 03 Musanze vs APR 2-0
Jun 28 Musanze vs Etincelles 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musanze in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3 - 1 Musanze National Socce…
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Etincelles Power 0
Musanze Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Etincelles Position

-11

Position Gap

7

Musanze Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.