AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Dec 28, 2021

Musanze

Home
VS
13:00

Etincelles

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Musanze Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Etincelles Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Musanze Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Musanze vs Gicumbi 0-0
Nov 30 Musanze vs Gorilla 2-1
Nov 03 Musanze vs APR 2-0
Jun 28 Musanze vs Etincelles 3-1
Jun 17 Musanze vs Gorilla 2-0
May 27 Musanze vs Muhanga 3-1
May 23 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 4-1
May 13 Musanze vs Etincelles 3-1
Dec 07 Musanze vs Muhanga 2-1
Etincelles Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Etincelles vs Police 3-0
Dec 12 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 1-1
Dec 09 Etincelles vs APR 0-0
Dec 01 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-2
Jun 28 Etincelles vs Musanze 3-1
Jun 25 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Jun 10 Etincelles vs Mukura 1-0
May 16 Etincelles vs Police 1-1
May 13 Etincelles vs Musanze 3-1
May 10 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3 - 1 Musanze National Socce…
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musanze to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musanze Power 0
Etincelles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Musanze Position

+11

Position Gap

18

Etincelles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.