AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Jun 28, 2021

Etincelles

Home
VS
13:00

Musanze

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Etincelles Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Musanze Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.26 - 1.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.7
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Etincelles Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 25 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Jun 10 Etincelles vs Mukura 1-0
May 16 Etincelles vs Police 1-1
May 13 Etincelles vs Musanze 3-1
May 10 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-1
May 07 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-1
May 01 Etincelles vs Police 5-1
Musanze Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 17 Musanze vs Gorilla 2-0
May 27 Musanze vs Muhanga 3-1
May 23 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 4-1
May 13 Musanze vs Etincelles 3-1
Dec 07 Musanze vs Muhanga 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musanze in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Etincelles Power 0
Musanze Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Etincelles Position

-11

Position Gap

7

Musanze Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.