AI Match Insights

Ekstraklasa Sep 25, 2024

Motor Lublin

Home
VS
17:00

Jagiellonia

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Motor Lublin Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Jagiellonia Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.12 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Motor Lublin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Jagiellonia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Motor Lublin Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 02 Motor Lub… vs Arka Gdyn… 1-2
May 30 Motor Lub… vs Górnik Łę… 0-0
May 26 Motor Lub… vs Podbeskid… 2-1
May 17 Motor Lub… vs Stal Rzes… 1-3
May 10 Motor Lub… vs Znicz Pru… 3-3
May 05 Motor Lub… vs Wisla Plo… 1-0
Apr 29 Motor Lub… vs Odra Opole 0-2
Apr 25 Motor Lub… vs Chrobry G… 1-1
Apr 12 Motor Lub… vs Arka Gdyn… 2-2
Feb 02 Motor Lub… vs Stal Stal… 2-0
Jagiellonia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Jagiellon… vs Widzew Łó… 1-0
Aug 25 Jagiellon… vs GKS Katow… 3-1
May 25 Jagiellon… vs Warta Poz… 3-0
May 18 Jagiellon… vs Piast Gli… 1-1
May 11 Jagiellon… vs Korona Ki… 3-0
May 04 Jagiellon… vs Stal Miel… 3-2
Apr 26 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Szc… 2-2
Apr 20 Jagiellon… vs Zaglebie … 1-2
Apr 03 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Szc… 2-1
Feb 28 Jagiellon… vs Korona Ki… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Motor Lublin in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Jagiellonia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2024 Jagiellonia 0 - 0 Motor Lublin Friendlies Clu…
Jul 04, 2023 Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Friendlies Clu…
Jan 21, 2023 Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Jagiellonia Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motor Lublin Power 0
Jagiellonia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Motor Lublin Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Jagiellonia Position

Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.