AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Pro Apr 14, 2024

Universidad O&M

Home
VS
18:00

Independiente del Valle

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Universidad O&M Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Independiente del Valle Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.53 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universidad O&M Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Independiente del Valle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Universidad O&M Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Universid… vs San Crist… 2-0
Apr 03 Universid… vs Atlántico 0-2
Mar 31 Universid… vs Orense SC 5-1
Mar 09 Universid… vs Moca 2-1
Feb 18 Universid… vs LDU Quito 2-0
Dec 03 Universid… vs FC Barcel… 0-1
Nov 25 Universid… vs Mushuc Ru… 0-2
Nov 02 Universid… vs LDU Quito 1-0
Sep 16 Universid… vs Orense SC 1-2
Aug 28 Universid… vs Moca 2-1
Independiente del Valle Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Independi… vs Libertad … 3-0
Mar 09 Independi… vs FC Barcel… 3-1
Dec 17 Independi… vs LDU Quito 1-1
Dec 10 Independi… vs LDU Quito 0-0
Dec 02 Independi… vs El Nacion… 2-1
Nov 25 Independi… vs Orense SC 2-2
Nov 04 Independi… vs LDU Quito 2-0
Sep 17 Independi… vs Libertad … 2-0
Aug 26 Independi… vs Universid… 0-1
Aug 19 Independi… vs FC Barcel… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universidad O&M in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 26, 2023 Independiente del V… 0 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Pro
Mar 31, 2023 Universidad O&M 2 - 3 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universidad O&M to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universidad O&M Power 0
Independiente del Valle Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.