AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Mar 29, 2025

FC Lugano

Home
VS
19:30

Servette FC

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
FC Lugano Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Servette FC Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.00 - 1.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Servette FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
FC Lugano Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 2-1
Mar 09 FC Lugano vs FC Sion 2-1
Mar 02 FC Lugano vs FC Zurich 0-3
Feb 26 FC Lugano vs Biel-Bien… 2-0
Feb 23 FC Lugano vs BSC Young… 1-0
Feb 15 FC Lugano vs FC Luzern 2-0
Feb 08 FC Lugano vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Feb 05 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 2-1
Feb 01 FC Lugano vs FC Sion 3-2
Jan 25 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 2-3
Servette FC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Servette … vs FC Zurich 1-3
Mar 01 Servette … vs Lausanne 0-1
Feb 16 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 1-2
Feb 09 Servette … vs FC Basel … 2-1
Feb 04 Servette … vs FC Sion 3-3
Feb 01 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Jan 18 Servette … vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
Dec 15 Servette … vs BSC Young… 2-1
Dec 01 Servette … vs FC Lugano 3-0
Nov 24 Servette … vs FC Basel … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Servette FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • FC Lugano struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 01, 2024 Servette FC 3 - 0 FC Lugano Super League
Aug 03, 2024 FC Lugano 3 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Jun 02, 2024 Servette FC 0 - 0 FC Lugano Schweizer Pokal
May 25, 2024 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Servette FC Super League
Feb 18, 2024 Servette FC 2 - 1 FC Lugano Super League
Dec 17, 2023 Servette FC 2 - 2 FC Lugano Super League
Oct 08, 2023 FC Lugano 0 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Lugano to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Lugano Power 0
Servette FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Lugano Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Servette FC Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.