AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Aug 03, 2024

FC Lugano

Home
VS
16:00

Servette FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
FC Lugano Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Servette FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.96 - 0.85
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Servette FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (16%) 1-0 (16%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
FC Lugano Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 FC Lugano vs FC Basel … 1-2
Jul 20 FC Lugano vs Grasshopp… 2-1
Jun 02 FC Lugano vs Servette … 0-0
May 25 FC Lugano vs Servette … 0-2
May 20 FC Lugano vs FC Zurich 2-1
May 16 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 4-2
May 11 FC Lugano vs BSC Young… 0-1
May 04 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 0-1
Apr 27 FC Lugano vs FC Sion 0-2
Apr 20 FC Lugano vs Lausanne 2-0
Servette FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 24 Servette … vs BSC Young… 3-1
Jul 21 Servette … vs FC Luzern 1-2
Jun 02 Servette … vs FC Lugano 0-0
May 25 Servette … vs FC Lugano 0-2
May 20 Servette … vs BSC Young… 0-1
May 15 Servette … vs FC Zurich 2-1
May 12 Servette … vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
May 04 Servette … vs FC Winter… 2-1
Apr 28 Servette … vs FC Winter… 0-1
Apr 20 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Servette FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 02, 2024 Servette FC 0 - 0 FC Lugano Schweizer Pokal
May 25, 2024 FC Lugano 0 - 2 Servette FC Super League
Feb 18, 2024 Servette FC 2 - 1 FC Lugano Super League
Dec 17, 2023 Servette FC 2 - 2 FC Lugano Super League
Oct 08, 2023 FC Lugano 0 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Lugano to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Lugano Power 0
Servette FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Lugano Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Servette FC Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.