AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Feb 18, 2024

Servette FC

Home
VS
15:30

FC Lugano

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Servette FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Lugano Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.38 - 1.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Servette FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Servette FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Servette … vs FC St. Ga… 0-2
Dec 17 Servette … vs FC Lugano 2-2
Dec 09 Servette … vs Lausanne 1-1
Dec 03 Servette … vs BSC Young… 1-1
Nov 26 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 2-0
Nov 12 Servette … vs FC Basel … 4-1
Nov 04 Servette … vs FC Zurich 0-2
Oct 29 Servette … vs FC Luzern 4-2
Oct 21 Servette … vs FC Basel … 0-1
Oct 08 Servette … vs FC Lugano 0-1
FC Lugano Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 FC Lugano vs BSC Young… 3-3
Feb 03 FC Lugano vs FC Basel … 0-1
Jan 31 FC Lugano vs Grasshopp… 0-0
Jan 28 FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… 1-4
Dec 17 FC Lugano vs Servette … 2-2
Dec 10 FC Lugano vs FC Winter… 2-1
Dec 06 FC Lugano vs FC Basel … 1-3
Dec 03 FC Lugano vs FC Luzern 1-0
Nov 12 FC Lugano vs FC Zurich 0-3
Nov 04 FC Lugano vs Lausanne 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 17, 2023 Servette FC 2 - 2 FC Lugano Super League
Oct 08, 2023 FC Lugano 0 - 1 Servette FC Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Servette FC Power 0
FC Lugano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Servette FC Position

-6

Position Gap

2

FC Lugano Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.