AI Match Insights

Superliga Nov 12, 2023

FC Midtjylland

Home
VS
15:00

FC Nordsjaelland

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
FC Midtjylland Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
FC Nordsjaelland Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.61 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Midtjylland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
FC Nordsjaelland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
FC Midtjylland Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 FC Midtjy… vs Viborg 2-2
Jun 09 FC Midtjy… vs Viborg 0-1
Feb 20 FC Midtjy… vs Viborg 0-4
Nov 10 FC Midtjy… vs Viborg 3-1
Oct 02 FC Midtjy… vs Viborg 1-1
Mar 04 FC Midtjy… vs Viborg 3-1
FC Nordsjaelland Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 FC Nordsj… vs Køge BK 1-0
Sep 02 FC Nordsj… vs Køge BK 0-0
Aug 20 FC Nordsj… vs Silkeborg… 2-0
May 14 FC Nordsj… vs Køge BK 1-1
Mar 05 FC Nordsj… vs Silkeborg… 2-1
Aug 21 FC Nordsj… vs Silkeborg… 0-2
Nov 21 FC Nordsj… vs Silkeborg… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Nordsjaelland struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Midtjylland to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Midtjylland Power 0
FC Nordsjaelland Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Midtjylland Position

+6

Position Gap

8

FC Nordsjaelland Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.