AI Match Insights

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Eredivisie Feb 11, 2026

NEC Nijmegen

Home
VS
20:00

Utrecht

Away
AI Predictions 71.0% Confidence
NEC Nijmegen Win
71.0%
Draw
19.8%
Utrecht Win
9.2%
Home Win (71% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 78%
Market 52%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 42%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
xG: 1.33 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5 Position gap: 9 places Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NEC Nijmegen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Utrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
NEC Nijmegen Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 NEC Nijme… vs FC Volend… 1-0
Jan 31 NEC Nijme… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-3
Jan 24 NEC Nijme… vs PEC Zwolle 2-1
Jan 20 NEC Nijme… vs De Treffe… 1-2
Jan 17 NEC Nijme… vs NAC Breda 3-4
Dec 20 NEC Nijme… vs Ajax 2-2
Dec 16 NEC Nijme… vs AFC Amste… 1-3
Dec 13 NEC Nijme… vs Telstar 2-2
Dec 07 NEC Nijme… vs FC Volend… 2-3
Nov 29 NEC Nijme… vs Sparta Ro… 3-1
Utrecht Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Utrecht vs Heerenveen 1-1
Jan 29 Utrecht vs Celtic 0-0
Jan 25 Utrecht vs Sparta Ro… 0-1
Jan 22 Utrecht vs Gent 0-2
Jan 18 Utrecht vs FC Volend… 2-1
Jan 13 Utrecht vs FC Twente 1-2
Dec 21 Utrecht vs PSV Eindh… 1-2
Dec 17 Utrecht vs FC OSS 0-2
Dec 14 Utrecht vs NAC Breda 1-1
Dec 11 Utrecht vs Nottingha… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • NEC Nijmegen in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Utrecht struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Utrecht 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NEC Nijmegen to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NEC Nijmegen Power 0
Utrecht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

NEC Nijmegen Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Utrecht Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.