AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Jan 09, 2026

Maccabi Netanya

Home
VS
12:00

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Maccabi Netanya Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 64%
Market 53%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 45%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 1.59 - 1.39
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maccabi Netanya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Maccabi Netanya Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 03 Maccabi N… vs Ironi Tib… 4-0
Dec 31 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Pe… 0-2
Dec 26 Maccabi N… vs Bnei Jaff… 0-6
Dec 21 Maccabi N… vs Maccabi T… 1-1
Dec 13 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Be… 2-0
Dec 07 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Ha… 3-4
Dec 03 Maccabi N… vs Ashdod 2-2
Nov 30 Maccabi N… vs Beitar Je… 4-2
Nov 08 Maccabi N… vs Maccabi B… 2-1
Nov 02 Maccabi N… vs Ironi Kir… 1-2
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 03 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi T… 1-3
Dec 31 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Be… 4-1
Dec 26 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Um… 2-0
Dec 20 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Ha… 0-1
Dec 13 Hapoel Ka… vs Ashdod 0-2
Dec 08 Hapoel Ka… vs Beitar Je… 1-1
Dec 02 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi B… 1-2
Nov 29 Hapoel Ka… vs Ironi Kir… 1-2
Nov 08 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Te… 0-0
Nov 01 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi H… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maccabi Netanya struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… 1 - 2 Maccabi Netanya Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maccabi Netanya Power 0
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Maccabi Netanya Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.