AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Feb 11, 2026

Virtus

Home
VS
20:15

Libertas

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Libertas Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Virtus Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Virtus vs Cosmos 0-0
Jan 25 Virtus vs Pennarossa 3-1
Jan 21 Virtus vs Folgore 1-2
Jan 18 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 1-1
Dec 23 Virtus vs Tre Fiori 1-0
Dec 20 Virtus vs Cailungo 6-0
Dec 13 Virtus vs Murata 0-2
Dec 10 Virtus vs Libertas 1-3
Dec 06 Virtus vs Tre Penne 2-1
Nov 29 Virtus vs Domagnano 1-0
Libertas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Libertas vs San Giova… 1-1
Jan 24 Libertas vs Cailungo 1-2
Jan 20 Libertas vs Domagnano 2-1
Jan 17 Libertas vs San Marin… 2-0
Dec 21 Libertas vs Tre Penne 5-0
Dec 13 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 0-4
Dec 10 Libertas vs Virtus 1-3
Dec 06 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 0-1
Nov 30 Libertas vs Fiorentino 0-1
Nov 26 Libertas vs Virtus 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2025 Libertas 1 - 3 Virtus Coppa Titano
Nov 26, 2025 Virtus 3 - 0 Libertas Coppa Titano
Mar 29, 2025 Libertas 0 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Dec 01, 2024 Virtus 5 - 2 Libertas Campionato
Feb 03, 2024 Libertas 0 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Oct 03, 2023 Virtus 2 - 1 Libertas Campionato
May 19, 2023 Libertas 1 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Feb 12, 2023 Libertas 2 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Oct 01, 2022 Virtus 1 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Mar 05, 2022 Libertas 0 - 3 Virtus Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Libertas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Virtus Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Libertas Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.