AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Erovnuli Liga 2 Jul 31, 2024

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Home
VS
16:00

Aragvi Dusheti

Away
AI Predictions 49.2% Confidence
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Win
21.0%
Draw
29.8%
Aragvi Dusheti Win
49.2%
Away Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.07 - 1.17
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Aragvi Dusheti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Lokomotiv… vs Sioni Bol… 2-4
May 15 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 2-4
May 01 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 1-0
Apr 22 Lokomotiv… vs Aragvi Du… 3-1
Apr 06 Lokomotiv… vs Sioni Bol… 4-0
Mar 14 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 1-1
Mar 05 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 1-1
Oct 27 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 1-1
Oct 06 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 3-1
Oct 02 Lokomotiv… vs Sioni Bol… 0-1
Aragvi Dusheti Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Aragvi Du… vs Lokomotiv… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 22, 2024 Aragvi Dusheti 3 - 1 Lokomotiv Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lokomotiv Tbilisi to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Power 0
Aragvi Dusheti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.