AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Erovnuli Liga 2 Apr 22, 2024

Aragvi Dusheti

Home
VS
12:00

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Aragvi Dusheti Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.78 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aragvi Dusheti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Aragvi Dusheti Form 50%

No recent form data available

Lokomotiv Tbilisi Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Lokomotiv… vs Sioni Bol… 4-0
Mar 14 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 1-1
Mar 05 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 1-1
Oct 27 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 1-1
Oct 06 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 3-1
Oct 02 Lokomotiv… vs Sioni Bol… 0-1
Aug 18 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 2-0
Aug 08 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 1-1
Aug 03 Lokomotiv… vs Sioni Bol… 1-2
May 15 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aragvi Dusheti to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aragvi Dusheti Power 0
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.