AI Match Insights
Liga Mayor Aug 15, 2024
Moca
HomeVS
20:00
Universidad O&M
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Moca Win
Draw
Universidad O&M Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.11 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.0
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Universidad O&M Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Moca Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | Moca vs Atlético … | 3-0 |
| Aug 04 | Moca vs Cibao | 0-1 |
| Jul 31 | Moca vs Delfines … | 1-0 |
| Jul 28 | Moca vs Atlántico | 2-1 |
| Jul 22 | Moca vs Universid… | 0-1 |
| Jul 17 | Moca vs Atlético … | 3-2 |
| Jul 06 | Moca vs Delfines … | 1-1 |
| Jun 30 | Moca vs San Crist… | 5-0 |
| Jun 23 | Moca vs Atlántico | 0-1 |
| Jun 08 | Moca vs San Crist… | 0-4 |
Universidad O&M Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | Universid… vs Delfines … | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Universid… vs Atlético … | 0-0 |
| Aug 04 | Universid… vs Atlántico | 1-1 |
| Jul 31 | Universid… vs Cibao | 1-1 |
| Jul 22 | Universid… vs Moca | 0-1 |
| Jul 17 | Universid… vs Delfines … | 1-2 |
| Jul 13 | Universid… vs Atlántico | 0-0 |
| Jul 07 | Universid… vs Atlético … | 3-3 |
| Jun 29 | Universid… vs Vega Real | 1-3 |
| Jun 22 | Universid… vs Delfines … | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Moca struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2024 | Universidad O&M | 0 - 1 | Moca | Liga Mayor |
| May 30, 2024 | Universidad O&M | 1 - 0 | Moca | Liga Mayor |
| May 08, 2024 | Moca | 1 - 1 | Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Moca | 2 - 1 | Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Moca | 2 - 1 | Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Universidad O&M | 0 - 1 | Moca | Liga Mayor |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Moca to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Moca Power
0
Universidad O&M Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Moca Position+3
Position Gap6
Universidad O&M Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.