AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Mayor Jul 22, 2024

Universidad O&M

Home
VS
22:00

Moca

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Universidad O&M Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Moca Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.01 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universidad O&M Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Moca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Universidad O&M Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Universid… vs Delfines … 1-2
Jul 13 Universid… vs Atlántico 0-0
Jul 07 Universid… vs Atlético … 3-3
Jun 29 Universid… vs Vega Real 1-3
Jun 22 Universid… vs Delfines … 2-2
Jun 19 Universid… vs San Crist… 2-0
Jun 15 Universid… vs Atlántico 0-3
Jun 02 Universid… vs Cibao 0-0
May 30 Universid… vs Moca 1-0
May 26 Universid… vs LDU Quito 2-1
Moca Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Moca vs Atlético … 3-2
Jul 06 Moca vs Delfines … 1-1
Jun 30 Moca vs San Crist… 5-0
Jun 23 Moca vs Atlántico 0-1
Jun 08 Moca vs San Crist… 0-4
Jun 03 Moca vs Atlético … 3-0
May 30 Moca vs Universid… 1-0
May 25 Moca vs Delfines … 0-1
May 15 Moca vs Atlántico 1-0
May 08 Moca vs Universid… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Moca in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 30, 2024 Universidad O&M 1 - 0 Moca Liga Mayor
May 08, 2024 Moca 1 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Mayor
Mar 09, 2024 Moca 2 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Mayor
Aug 28, 2023 Moca 2 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Mayor
Jul 29, 2023 Universidad O&M 0 - 1 Moca Liga Mayor
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universidad O&M Power 0
Moca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Universidad O&M Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Moca Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.