AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I May 19, 2024

Oţelul

Home
VS
11:30

Universitatea Craiova

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Oţelul Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Universitatea Craiova Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.25 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Oţelul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Oţelul Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 2-0
Apr 21 Oţelul vs Universit… 1-0
Apr 18 Oţelul vs Universit… 2-1
Apr 08 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 1-0
Apr 04 Oţelul vs Universit… 0-1
Feb 27 Oţelul vs CFR 1907 … 2-2
Feb 18 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 3-1
Feb 03 Oţelul vs Rapid 2-1
Dec 22 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 0-2
Dec 17 Oţelul vs Universit… 0-1
Universitatea Craiova Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Universit… vs Farul Con… 3-3
May 06 Universit… vs FCSB 2-0
May 04 Universit… vs Dinamo Bu… 3-3
Apr 29 Universit… vs Rapid 1-2
Apr 25 Universit… vs CFR 1907 … 0-1
Apr 21 Universit… vs Oţelul 1-0
Apr 18 Universit… vs Oţelul 2-1
Apr 13 Universit… vs Petrolul … 1-2
Apr 12 Universit… vs Farul Con… 1-2
Apr 07 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Oţelul in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 18, 2024 Oţelul 2 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Cupa României
Apr 04, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Cupa României
Dec 17, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Liga I
Nov 26, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 3 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Aug 12, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Jul 24, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 0 Oţelul Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Oţelul Power 0
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Oţelul Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Universitatea Craiova Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.