AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Apr 21, 2024

Oţelul

Home
VS
13:00

Universitatea Craiova

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Oţelul Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Universitatea Craiova Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.90 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Oţelul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Oţelul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Oţelul vs Universit… 2-1
Apr 08 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 1-0
Apr 04 Oţelul vs Universit… 0-1
Feb 27 Oţelul vs CFR 1907 … 2-2
Feb 18 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 3-1
Feb 03 Oţelul vs Rapid 2-1
Dec 22 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 0-2
Dec 17 Oţelul vs Universit… 0-1
Dec 07 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 3-3
Nov 26 Oţelul vs Universit… 1-3
Universitatea Craiova Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Universit… vs Oţelul 2-1
Apr 13 Universit… vs Petrolul … 1-2
Apr 12 Universit… vs Farul Con… 1-2
Apr 07 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 1-1
Apr 07 Universit… vs FCSB 2-0
Apr 04 Universit… vs Oţelul 0-1
Apr 03 Universit… vs AFC Herma… 1-0
Mar 30 Universit… vs Uta Arad 0-0
Mar 30 Universit… vs Rapid 2-1
Mar 16 Universit… vs CFR 1907 … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Oţelul in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Universitatea Craiova struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 18, 2024 Oţelul 2 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Cupa României
Apr 04, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Cupa României
Dec 17, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Liga I
Nov 26, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 3 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Aug 12, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Jul 24, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 0 Oţelul Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Oţelul Power 0
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Oţelul Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Universitatea Craiova Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.