AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Women's Championship Mar 05, 2023

Crystal Palace Women

Home
VS
14:00

Bristol City Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Crystal Palace Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bristol City Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.35 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crystal Palace Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Bristol City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Crystal Palace Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Crystal P… vs Sheffield… 2-1
Feb 12 Crystal P… vs Durham Wo… 1-0
Feb 05 Crystal P… vs Southampt… 2-0
Jan 29 Crystal P… vs Durham Wo… 3-0
Oct 30 Crystal P… vs Durham Wo… 0-1
Oct 23 Crystal P… vs Bristol C… 3-0
Oct 02 Crystal P… vs Bristol C… 4-0
Sep 18 Crystal P… vs Southampt… 1-2
May 01 Crystal P… vs Sheffield… 2-2
Feb 06 Crystal P… vs Bristol C… 4-0
Bristol City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Bristol C… vs Southampt… 2-0
Nov 27 Bristol C… vs Charlton … 2-1
Oct 30 Bristol C… vs Charlton … 0-2
Oct 23 Bristol C… vs Crystal P… 3-0
Oct 16 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 1-3
Oct 02 Bristol C… vs Crystal P… 4-0
Sep 25 Bristol C… vs Southampt… 1-1
Sep 18 Bristol C… vs Sunderlan… 1-0
May 01 Bristol C… vs Sunderlan… 2-2
Mar 26 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Crystal Palace Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bristol City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2022 Bristol City Women 3 - 0 Crystal Palace Women Women's Champi…
Oct 02, 2022 Bristol City Women 4 - 0 Crystal Palace Women WSL Cup
Feb 06, 2022 Bristol City Women 4 - 0 Crystal Palace Women Women's Champi…
Dec 15, 2021 Crystal Palace Women 0 - 0 Bristol City Women WSL Cup
Aug 29, 2021 Crystal Palace Women 4 - 3 Bristol City Women Women's Champi…
Nov 05, 2020 Crystal Palace Women 2 - 4 Bristol City Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crystal Palace Women Power 40
Bristol City Women Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Crystal Palace Women Position

-1

Position Gap

3

Bristol City Women Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.