AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Feb 14, 2025

Universitatea Craiova

Home
VS
18:00

Oţelul

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Universitatea Craiova Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Oţelul Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 4.43 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.9 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Oţelul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Universitatea Craiova Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Universit… vs Unirea Sl… 0-1
Feb 01 Universit… vs Rapid 2-1
Jan 25 Universit… vs Rapid 1-0
Jan 24 Universit… vs Dinamo Bu… 0-0
Jan 11 Universit… vs Oţelul 1-2
Dec 20 Universit… vs Sepsi OSK… 0-0
Dec 18 Universit… vs FCSB 0-2
Dec 14 Universit… vs Petrolul … 4-1
Dec 07 Universit… vs Petrolul … 1-1
Dec 04 Universit… vs Petrolul … 0-2
Oţelul Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Oţelul vs Rapid 1-1
Feb 04 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 1-0
Jan 11 Oţelul vs Universit… 1-2
Dec 22 Oţelul vs CFR 1907 … 3-2
Nov 11 Oţelul vs CFR 1907 … 0-1
Nov 08 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 0-0
Oct 30 Oţelul vs Csikszere… 2-1
Oct 27 Oţelul vs Unirea Sl… 0-2
Oct 18 Oţelul vs Universit… 2-0
Oct 05 Oţelul vs Universit… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Oţelul struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Universitatea Craio… 1 - 2 Oţelul Friendlies Clu…
Oct 18, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 2 - 0 Oţelul Liga I
Oct 05, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
May 19, 2024 Oţelul 0 - 2 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 21, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 18, 2024 Oţelul 2 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Cupa României
Apr 04, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Cupa României
Dec 17, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Liga I
Nov 26, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 3 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Aug 12, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universitatea Craiova to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Oţelul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Universitatea Craiova Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Oţelul Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.