AI Match Insights

First League May 04, 2021

Ludogorets Razgrad

Home
VS
16:45

Beroe

Away
AI Predictions 75.0% Confidence
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
75.0%
Draw
19.0%
Beroe Win
6.0%
Home Win (75% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.00 - 0.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ludogorets Razgrad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Beroe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Ludogorets Razgrad Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 1-4
Beroe Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Beroe vs Ludogoret… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 07, 2021 Beroe 1 - 4 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ludogorets Razgrad to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ludogorets Razgrad Power 0
Beroe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ludogorets Razgrad Position

+10

Position Gap

13

Beroe Position

Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.