AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 11, 2025

Newcastle Jets Women

Home
VS
06:00

Melbourne Victory Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Melbourne Victory Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.40 - 3.25
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%) 0-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Newcastle Jets Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 3-3
Dec 29 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 0-0
Dec 21 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 1-6
Dec 14 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 1-2
Dec 08 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Nov 17 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Nov 10 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Nov 03 Newcastle… vs Western S… 2-2
Apr 28 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Apr 21 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-3
Melbourne Victory Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Jan 05 Melbourne… vs Western S… 4-4
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Dec 21 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 0-2
Nov 23 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-1
Nov 09 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-3
Nov 02 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 2-3
Apr 14 Melbourne… vs Central C… 0-0
Mar 31 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 0-4
Mar 23 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 23, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Nov 12, 2023 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 18, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 5 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Feb 08, 2022 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 20, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 07, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.