AI Match Insights

W-League Feb 08, 2022

Newcastle Jets Women

Home
VS
06:25

Melbourne Victory Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Melbourne Victory Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 41%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.98 - 2.62
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Newcastle Jets Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 3-0
Jan 30 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 3-3
Jan 16 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 1-1
Dec 27 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Dec 17 Newcastle… vs Western S… 1-1
Dec 10 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 5-1
Dec 04 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 3-1
Mar 28 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Mar 20 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 0-1
Mar 14 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Melbourne Victory Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 02 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-4
Dec 26 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-5
Dec 18 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-3
Dec 12 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Apr 11 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Apr 04 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-6
Feb 28 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 1-1
Feb 20 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Feb 07 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne Victory Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 20, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 07, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.