AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 20, 2021

Newcastle Jets Women

Home
VS
05:05

Melbourne Victory Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Women Win
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Melbourne Victory Women Win
47.6%
Away Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.30 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Newcastle Jets Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 4-2
Jan 31 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 23 Newcastle… vs Western S… 4-1
Jan 17 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Jan 08 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 1-2
Jan 02 Newcastle… vs Western S… 2-1
Melbourne Victory Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newcastle Jets Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 07, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.