AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 07, 2021

Melbourne Victory Women

Home
VS
07:05

Newcastle Jets Women

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Women Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Newcastle Jets Women Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.70 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Melbourne Victory Women Form 50%

No recent form data available

Newcastle Jets Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 23 Newcastle… vs Western S… 4-1
Jan 17 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Jan 08 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 1-2
Jan 02 Newcastle… vs Western S… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newcastle Jets Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.