AI Match Insights

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Serie A Oct 29, 2023

Napoli

Home
VS
19:45

AC Milan

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Napoli Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
AC Milan Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 41%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 0.97 - 1.64
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Napoli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Napoli vs Verona 1-3
Oct 08 Napoli vs Fiorentina 1-3
Sep 27 Napoli vs Udinese 4-1
Sep 24 Napoli vs Bologna 0-0
Sep 16 Napoli vs Genoa 2-2
Sep 02 Napoli vs Lazio 1-2
Aug 27 Napoli vs Sassuolo 2-0
May 28 Napoli vs Bologna 2-2
May 21 Napoli vs Inter 3-1
May 07 Napoli vs Fiorentina 1-0
AC Milan Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 AC Milan vs Genoa 0-1
Sep 30 AC Milan vs Lazio 2-0
Sep 27 AC Milan vs Cagliari 1-3
Sep 23 AC Milan vs Verona 1-0
Sep 01 AC Milan vs AS Roma 1-2
Aug 26 AC Milan vs Torino 4-1
Aug 21 AC Milan vs Bologna 0-2
Jun 04 AC Milan vs Verona 3-1
May 06 AC Milan vs Lazio 2-0
Apr 23 AC Milan vs Lecce 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AC Milan in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 18, 2023 Napoli 1 - 1 AC Milan UEFA Champions…
Apr 12, 2023 AC Milan 1 - 0 Napoli UEFA Champions…
Apr 02, 2023 Napoli 0 - 4 AC Milan Serie A
Sep 18, 2022 AC Milan 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Napoli to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Napoli Power 40
AC Milan Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Napoli Position

-1

Position Gap

2

AC Milan Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.