AI Match Insights

UEFA Champions League Apr 12, 2023

AC Milan

Home
VS
19:00

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
AC Milan Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Napoli Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 46%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.61 - 0.99
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (20%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
AC Milan Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 AC Milan vs Napoli 0-4
Mar 04 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-1
Feb 10 AC Milan vs Torino 1-0
Jan 29 AC Milan vs Sassuolo 2-5
Jan 24 AC Milan vs Lazio 4-0
Jan 14 AC Milan vs Lecce 2-2
Jan 11 AC Milan vs Torino 0-1
Nov 13 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-1
Oct 30 AC Milan vs Torino 2-1
Oct 16 AC Milan vs Verona 1-2
Napoli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Napoli vs AC Milan 0-4
Mar 11 Napoli vs Atalanta 2-0
Mar 03 Napoli vs Lazio 0-1
Feb 17 Napoli vs Sassuolo 0-2
Feb 12 Napoli vs Cremonese 3-0
Jan 29 Napoli vs AS Roma 2-1
Jan 17 Napoli vs Cremonese 2-2
Jan 13 Napoli vs Juventus 5-1
Jan 04 Napoli vs Inter 1-0
Nov 12 Napoli vs Udinese 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Napoli in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • AC Milan struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2023 Napoli 0 - 4 AC Milan Serie A
Sep 18, 2022 AC Milan 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AC Milan to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AC Milan Power 45
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.