AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 02, 2023

Napoli

Home
VS
18:45

AC Milan

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Napoli Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
AC Milan Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 4.50 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Napoli Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Napoli vs Atalanta 2-0
Mar 03 Napoli vs Lazio 0-1
Feb 17 Napoli vs Sassuolo 0-2
Feb 12 Napoli vs Cremonese 3-0
Jan 29 Napoli vs AS Roma 2-1
Jan 17 Napoli vs Cremonese 2-2
Jan 13 Napoli vs Juventus 5-1
Jan 04 Napoli vs Inter 1-0
Nov 12 Napoli vs Udinese 3-2
Nov 05 Napoli vs Atalanta 1-2
AC Milan Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-1
Feb 10 AC Milan vs Torino 1-0
Jan 29 AC Milan vs Sassuolo 2-5
Jan 24 AC Milan vs Lazio 4-0
Jan 14 AC Milan vs Lecce 2-2
Jan 11 AC Milan vs Torino 0-1
Nov 13 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-1
Oct 30 AC Milan vs Torino 2-1
Oct 16 AC Milan vs Verona 1-2
Sep 18 AC Milan vs Napoli 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Napoli in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • AC Milan struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 18, 2022 AC Milan 1 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Napoli to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Napoli Power 40
AC Milan Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Napoli Position

-1

Position Gap

2

AC Milan Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.