AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 21, 2021

Corinthians

Home
VS
19:00

Vasco DA Gama

Away
AI Predictions 62.3% Confidence
Corinthians Win
62.3%
Draw
21.5%
Vasco DA Gama Win
16.1%
Home Win (62% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Corinthians Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
Dec 27 Corinthia… vs Botafogo 0-2
Oct 22 Corinthia… vs Vasco DA … 1-2
Sep 06 Corinthia… vs Botafogo 2-2
Vasco DA Gama Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Vasco DA … vs Internaci… 0-2
Jan 24 Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… 3-2
Dec 06 Vasco DA … vs Remo 4-0
Oct 22 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 1-2
Oct 18 Vasco DA … vs Internaci… 2-0
Oct 04 Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… 4-1
Aug 27 Vasco DA … vs Rio Branc… 1-7
Aug 23 Vasco DA … vs Remo 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vasco DA Gama struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2020 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 2 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Corinthians to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Corinthians Power 0
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Corinthians Position

-1

Position Gap

17

Vasco DA Gama Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.