AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 24, 2024

Douanes

Home
VS
15:30

USFA

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Douanes Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
USFA Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Douanes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
USFA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Douanes Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Douanes vs RC Bobo-D… 1-1
Oct 05 Douanes vs Sporting … 0-0
Jun 06 Douanes vs Sporting … 0-0
May 25 Douanes vs RC Bobo-D… 2-2
Apr 18 Douanes vs Rahimo 2-0
Feb 26 Douanes vs ASFB 2-2
Feb 20 Douanes vs Majestic … 2-2
Feb 17 Douanes vs USFA 1-0
Feb 08 Douanes vs RCK 4-0
Jan 31 Douanes vs RCK 0-0
USFA Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 USFA vs Réal du F… 1-1
Nov 05 USFA vs Rahimo 1-0
Oct 16 USFA vs Vitesse 2-1
Oct 06 USFA vs Etoile Fi… 0-0
Jul 02 USFA vs CS Uruguay 0-1
May 23 USFA vs Etoile Fi… 1-1
May 19 USFA vs ASFA-Yenn… 0-1
May 12 USFA vs Sporting … 2-1
Apr 28 USFA vs ASFB 0-0
Apr 23 USFA vs Vitesse 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2024 USFA 1 - 0 Douanes Ligue 1
Jan 25, 2024 Douanes 2 - 0 USFA Ligue 1
Feb 11, 2023 Douanes 2 - 1 USFA Ligue 1
Nov 25, 2022 USFA 0 - 0 Douanes Ligue 1
Mar 02, 2022 Douanes 1 - 0 USFA Ligue 1
Dec 29, 2021 USFA 0 - 1 Douanes Ligue 1
May 16, 2021 Douanes 2 - 2 USFA Ligue 1
Oct 17, 2020 USFA 0 - 0 Douanes Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Douanes Power 0
USFA Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Douanes Position

-5

Position Gap

5

USFA Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.