AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Apr 22, 2023

Dungannon Swifts

Home
VS
14:00

Portadown

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Dungannon Swifts Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Portadown Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.68 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Dungannon Swifts Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 2-0
Apr 11 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 2-0
Apr 07 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-1
Feb 24 Dungannon… vs Portadown 3-1
Feb 14 Dungannon… vs Larne 0-3
Jan 24 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 6-0
Jan 14 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 2-0
Jan 07 Dungannon… vs Ards 3-1
Jan 02 Dungannon… vs Portadown 0-0
Nov 18 Dungannon… vs Larne 2-1
Portadown Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Portadown vs Carrick R… 3-1
Apr 07 Portadown vs Ballymena… 1-0
Apr 01 Portadown vs Glentoran 5-1
Mar 18 Portadown vs Crusaders… 2-2
Mar 04 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-3
Feb 24 Portadown vs Dungannon… 3-1
Feb 14 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 3-0
Feb 11 Portadown vs Ballymena… 0-0
Feb 04 Portadown vs Glentoran 0-3
Jan 02 Portadown vs Dungannon… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dungannon Swifts struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 02, 2023 Portadown 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 04, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 1 Portadown League Cup
Sep 23, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Portadown Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Dungannon Swifts Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Portadown Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.