AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 02, 2023

Portadown

Home
VS
15:00

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 37.2% Confidence
Portadown Win
36.0%
Draw
26.8%
Dungannon Swifts Win
37.2%
Away Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.53 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Portadown Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 4-1
Dec 10 Portadown vs Ballymena… 1-0
Nov 26 Portadown vs Glentoran 0-2
Nov 19 Portadown vs Carrick R… 2-0
Nov 08 Portadown vs Carrick R… 2-0
Oct 22 Portadown vs Crusaders… 4-0
Oct 08 Portadown vs Ballymena… 2-0
Oct 04 Portadown vs Dungannon… 2-1
Sep 23 Portadown vs Dungannon… 2-0
Sep 03 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 1-2
Dungannon Swifts Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 18 Dungannon… vs Larne 2-1
Nov 05 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 3-1
Oct 04 Dungannon… vs Portadown 2-1
Sep 23 Dungannon… vs Portadown 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portadown struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 1 Portadown League Cup
Sep 23, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portadown Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Portadown Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Dungannon Swifts Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.