AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Oct 06, 2023

Larne

Home
VS
18:45

Crusaders FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Larne Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Crusaders FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.39 - 1.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.5 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Crusaders FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Larne Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Larne vs Glentoran 0-4
Sep 22 Larne vs Carrick R… 4-1
Sep 15 Larne vs Linfield 2-0
Aug 19 Larne vs Coleraine… 0-0
Aug 15 Larne vs Ballymena… 3-0
Aug 11 Larne vs Glentoran 1-2
Aug 07 Larne vs Dungannon… 4-4
Jul 07 Larne vs Bangor 0-1
Jul 01 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-2
Apr 29 Larne vs Coleraine… 3-0
Crusaders FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Crusaders… vs Linfield 2-0
Sep 23 Crusaders… vs Glentoran 2-0
Sep 18 Crusaders… vs Cliftonvi… 0-3
Aug 22 Crusaders… vs Carrick R… 9-0
Aug 15 Crusaders… vs Dungannon… 2-0
Aug 11 Crusaders… vs Ballymena… 1-2
Jul 01 Crusaders… vs Larne 0-2
May 07 Crusaders… vs Ballymena… 0-4
Apr 22 Crusaders… vs Cliftonvi… 3-3
Apr 07 Crusaders… vs Linfield 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Crusaders FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 01, 2023 Larne 0 - 2 Crusaders FC Charity Shield
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Crusaders FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Crusaders FC Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.