AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Sep 26, 2023

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Home
VS
17:30

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 40%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 0.75 - 1.45
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 18 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Be… 0-0
Sep 02 Hapoel Te… vs Maccabi H… 2-0
Aug 26 Hapoel Te… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-1
Aug 08 Hapoel Te… vs Ashdod 1-0
Aug 05 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Pe… 1-1
May 06 Hapoel Te… vs Ironi Kir… 2-2
Apr 30 Hapoel Te… vs Bnei Sakh… 0-1
Apr 15 Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Ha… 1-0
Mar 18 Hapoel Te… vs Beitar Je… 2-1
Mar 13 Hapoel Te… vs Maccabi H… 0-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Maccabi T… vs Beitar Je… 2-1
Sep 02 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Be… 1-1
Aug 27 Maccabi T… vs Ashdod 4-1
Aug 21 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Pe… 2-1
Aug 20 Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-5
Aug 09 Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… 1-2
Aug 05 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… 1-1
Jul 20 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Be… 1-6
May 20 Maccabi T… vs Ashdod 1-2
May 06 Maccabi T… vs Beitar Je… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Oct 10, 2022 Maccabi Tel Aviv 3 - 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
May 21, 2022 Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 - 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Apr 25, 2022 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 - 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Feb 12, 2022 Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 - 3 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Nov 07, 2021 Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Jun 02, 2021 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 - 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv State Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hapoel Tel Aviv to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Tel Aviv Power 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Hapoel Tel Aviv Position

+1

Position Gap

4

Maccabi Tel Aviv Position

Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.