AI Match Insights
Ligat Ha'al Sep 26, 2023
Hapoel Tel Aviv
HomeVS
17:30
Maccabi Tel Aviv
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win
Draw
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 0.75 - 1.45
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (12%)
0-0 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Be… | 0-0 |
| Sep 02 | Hapoel Te… vs Maccabi H… | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Hapoel Te… vs Bnei Sakh… | 1-1 |
| Aug 08 | Hapoel Te… vs Ashdod | 1-0 |
| Aug 05 | Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Pe… | 1-1 |
| May 06 | Hapoel Te… vs Ironi Kir… | 2-2 |
| Apr 30 | Hapoel Te… vs Bnei Sakh… | 0-1 |
| Apr 15 | Hapoel Te… vs Hapoel Ha… | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Hapoel Te… vs Beitar Je… | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Hapoel Te… vs Maccabi H… | 0-1 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Maccabi T… vs Beitar Je… | 2-1 |
| Sep 02 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Be… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Maccabi T… vs Ashdod | 4-1 |
| Aug 21 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Pe… | 2-1 |
| Aug 20 | Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… | 1-5 |
| Aug 09 | Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… | 1-2 |
| Aug 05 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… | 1-1 |
| Jul 20 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Be… | 1-6 |
| May 20 | Maccabi T… vs Ashdod | 1-2 |
| May 06 | Maccabi T… vs Beitar Je… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Maccabi Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 - 0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 - 0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 21, 2022 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 - 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 5 - 0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 - 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 07, 2021 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jun 02, 2021 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 - 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | State Cup |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Hapoel Tel Aviv to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Hapoel Tel Aviv Power
0
Maccabi Tel Aviv Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Hapoel Tel Aviv Position+1
Position Gap4
Maccabi Tel Aviv Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.